December 4th, 2013 Business & Market Update

After the sell off in North America yesterday, Japan following overnight with a 2% decline however, China in contrast was higher by about 1.3% on a stronger currency.

Europe is following suit with declines of about three quarters of a point at midday.

In the US the ADP Private Payrolls for November were released and beat by a large margin coming in at 215000 vs. 170000.  This number is the precursor to the Non-Farm Payrolls that will be released by the US government on Friday morning.  Estimates after last months big beat are averaging 166000 new jobs for November.  Futures are trading lower by about a quarter point.  Bond prices are falling pushing the 10 year yield in US bonds to 2.82% and in Canada to 2.62%.

Canadian futures are also down by about a quarter point after strong earnings from the National Bank.  The bank beat on both bottom and top lines, declared a stock split and a dividend increase.  Today at 10am the BOC will release the latest policy statement in regard to interest rates and the general state of the economy.  Interest rates are not going to move, however, the Governor’s comments will be closely watched.

Gold is trading lower by 4.00 to 1215, oil is up 0.77 to 96.82 and the loonie is off another 0.17 to 93.75.

I would seem the correction is upon us which will provide some solid entry points across the board in equities.  I continue to hedge fixed income positions to take advantage of the slowly rising interest rates while maintaining a strong cash equivalent position that will be available to take advantage of higher rates down the road.

November proved to be another good month in all mandates as the changes that have been made over the past couple of months continue to pay off in regard to performance.

Kenneth A. Dick, BA, CIM, CFP, FCSI

Branch Manager & Portfolio Manager | Independent Wealth Management

Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management

November 11th, 2013 Market & Business Update

We start this week with some good news out of China as Industrial Production there was strong in October causing markets to rally there by about a quarter point.  Japan was higher by more than a point on the US employment news that came Friday causing the dollar to rally and the yen to fall.

In Europe, a positive by Angela Merkel’s conservatives and the Social Democrats that a deal has been struck on the contours of a European banking union under which a body attached to European finance ministers, not the European Commission, would decide when to close failing banks.  This is a breakthrough for the two political parties, unlike our friends to the south that will help to shore up the banking system in the region.  Markets there are stronger on the news by about a third of a point.

Moving to North America, US and Canadian futures are just slightly higher this morning as the markets continue to digest the employment news and the whether the elusive “taper” is back on the table sooner as opposed to later.

Gold is down a couple of bucks to 1282, oil is lower by 0.35 to 94.23 and the loonie is flat at 95.44.  Bond markets after a bump in yields Friday are quiet this morning with 10 year yields for the US and Canada bonds at 2.74% and 2.60% respectively.  The spread is widening between the two countries as the US may reduce liquidity before Canada does.

Lastly this morning, on this Remembrance Day, I ask all to take a moment and be thankful for all that have given their lives in past conflicts and continue to do so today to provide us with the freedom that we all enjoy. Lest we forget.

Kenneth A. Dick, BA, CIM, CFP, FCSI

Branch Manager & Portfolio Manager | Independent Wealth Management

Canaccord Genuity Wealth Management