November 26th 2013 Business & Market Update

Overnight in Asia markets were slightly lower as oil markets recovered after the slide yesterday based on the Iran nuclear deal.

Europe at midday is flat despite some continued strong numbers coming from the service sector that is adding jobs at the fastest pace in more than 6 years.

US and Canadian futures are also flat this morning despite strong Housing Start and Permits numbers for October. The estimates of 933,000 were beat handily by the actual number coming in at 1,030,000. These numbers are late in coming based on the government shut-down that occurred earlier in October. The Case-Shiller Housing Index was also released this morning and it showed a year over year 13.29% increase which was in line with estimates.

In Canada, the Finance Minister suggested late yesterday that the budget would be balanced in 14 months which is sooner than was anticipated only 10 days ago. Good news none the less if you believe the shell game that is played in government finance. Also, the big news out of Canada today is the new deal that the NHL struck with Rogers Communications. The deal valued at $5.2bn will run over 12 years and give the media company total control of the NHL property in Canada. In essence CBC and TSN (Bell Media) are out. Rogers has suggested they have a deal with CBC to broadcast the Sat night game of the week and will maintain the French and other language options that the CBC offers. The deal takes about a quarter of the CBC’s total revenues which will hurt the crown corporation. TSN it would seem is out other than some regional games where they have some ownership rights (Leafs, Winnipeg etc.). For those of you that like Don Cherry and Ron Maclean it would seem for now they are still on Sat nights and will be doing some playoff games.

Gold is up about 3.00 to 1245, oil is up a couple of cents to 94.12 and the loonie is down 0.06 to 94.81. Debt markets are flat this morning with US and Canada 10 year bonds trading at 2.73% and 2.55% respectively.

Lastly, as I mentioned yesterday I would be providing some insight into the conference I attended last week and start the process this morning with an article by Mark Kiesel, Head of Global Bond Portfolio Management for Pimco. The theme was what not to buy and finding the sweet spot in the debt and equity markets based on the current environment that we are ensconced in. I found Mark quite positive, down to earth and pragmatic in his big picture view which translated nicely into his sector analysis. Take the time to give it a read it you have a moment.

Kenneth A. Dick, BA, CIM, CFP, FCSI

Branch Manager & Portfolio Manager | Independent Wealth Management
Canaccord Genuity Wealth Managementwww.glwm.ca

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